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Old 03-27-2020, 07:44 PM   #1
WinnisquamZ
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We deal in data and facts, not projections. The facts are telling those in charge that this event will level out and allow us to create a “soft open” around Easter. Then again, if you want to remain home, it is your choose. FYI, my daughter has a PHD from ND in micro biology and I am married to a analytical chemist. I follow their lead when it involves data


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Old 03-27-2020, 07:54 PM   #2
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We deal in data and facts, not projections. The facts are telling those in charge that this event will level out and allow us to create a “soft open” around Easter.

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That's great to hear! Please can you share the data and facts that support a "soft open" around Easter?
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Old 03-27-2020, 08:00 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by WinnisquamZ View Post
We deal in data and facts, not projections. The facts are telling those in charge that this event will level out and allow us to create a “soft open” around Easter. Then again, if you want to remain home, it is your choose. FYI, my daughter has a PHD from ND in micro biology and I am married to a analytical chemist. I follow their lead when it involves data


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Not projections? Your daughter is a microbiologist and she doesn't believe viruses expand or think we can predict the life of an organism?
Better ask her again
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Old 03-27-2020, 08:32 PM   #4
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Originally Posted by WinnisquamZ View Post
We deal in data and facts, not projections. The facts are telling those in charge that this event will level out and allow us to create a “soft open” around Easter. Then again, if you want to remain home, it is your choose. FYI, my daughter has a PHD from ND in micro biology and I am married to a analytical chemist. I follow their lead when it involves data


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2 minutes before the Titanic met the ice berg the data & facts were the ship was seaworthy & the passengers safe. That was during a calculated risk to take a northern pass and was a winnable gamble though one that was lost.

This is not that. We have hit the iceberg, the hold is filling with water, the ship is listing into ice-freezing water.

We are going to lose up to 30k, or more, in April alone.

According to your way of thinking if you jumped off a 10 story building you would be thinking the first 9 floors were ok, maybe this will work out.... because why trust projections?
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Old 03-27-2020, 08:39 PM   #5
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2 minutes before the Titanic met the ice berg the data & facts were the ship was seaworthy & the passengers safe. That was during a calculated risk to take a northern pass and was a winnable gamble though one that was lost.

This is not that. We have hit the iceberg, the hold is filling with water, the ship is listing into ice-freezing water.

We are going to lose up to 30k, or more, in April alone.

According to your way of thinking if you jumped off a 10 story building you would be thinking the first 9 floors were ok, maybe this will work out.... because why trust projections?
Wow! That’s a reach. What of the projections made by our military at the time our boys would land at the beaches of Europe? They knew many were not coming home but they still went.


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Old 03-27-2020, 08:52 PM   #6
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I guess time will tell what the final numbers show.
Most curves predict this peaking in mid-April but no one seems to know for sure.

To shift gears a bit - it is true slowing the cases // flattening the curve is to allow the medical system in the US to not be overwhelmed.

Vaccine-wise > they say they are working on one (which is great) but that will be very interesting as today we have a lot people that refuse vaccines that have been around for many, many, many years. Here comes one developed in 6 to 10 months and would be brand new. Who wants to be first in line? Going to be very hard to get young people to want that.
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Old 03-27-2020, 08:59 PM   #7
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I guess time will tell what the final numbers show.

Most curves predict this peaking in mid-April but no one seems to know for sure.

To shift gears a bit - it is true slowing the cases // flattening the curve is to allow the medical system in the US to not be overwhelmed.

Vaccine-wise > they say they are working on one (which is great) but that will be very interesting as today we have a lot people that refuse vaccines that have been around for many, many, many years. Here comes one developed in 6 to 10 months and would be brand new. Who wants to be first in line? Going to be very hard to get young people to want that.
Agree. Vaccines won’t be available till the fall hopefully. Until then, those at risk must be careful. But with that said, the country must get back to work


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Old 03-27-2020, 09:06 PM   #8
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But with that said, the country must get back to work
...but only when the experts and the data show that it's safe, right?
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Old 03-27-2020, 09:49 PM   #9
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Wow! That’s a reach. What of the projections made by our military at the time our boys would land at the beaches of Europe? They knew many were not coming home but they still went.


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Not a reach. Its the conservative end of the range.

What exactly is your point about comparing military projections of the invasion of Europe to the track of projected covid deaths. I am sure there was supposed to be a point. I just can't find it.
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