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Old 03-27-2020, 06:16 PM   #1
Major
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Originally Posted by upthesaukee View Post
Interesting that the country is supposed to be "back in business" by April 12 th, that's 15 or 16 days from now.

Per John Hopkins University real time website, the US has topped 100, 000. Just before 6pm, we were at 100,717 cases. (On March 22nd, this time of day, around 6pm, we were at 32,600).

Easter is tremendously optimistic, in my humble opinion.

Dave
Is it really? H1N1 had 60,800,000 cases, 274,304 hospitalized persons, and 12,469 deaths. We did not collapse our economy for a far worse epidemic. Overreaction?


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Old 03-27-2020, 06:53 PM   #2
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Is it really? H1N1 had 60,800,000 cases, 274,304 hospitalized persons, and 12,469 deaths. We did not collapse our economy for a far worse epidemic. Overreaction?


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H1N1 (your numbers) 0.02% mortality

COVID-19 (as of 27th March) 4.6% mortality (worldwide) 1.5% (US)

"But we're not finding everyone who has COVID-19! Many people will be walking around and not know they have it!"

How much under-reporting makes this not an issue for you? 2x so maybe the mortality rate is only 0.75% (2.5million expected US deaths)? 10x, getting to 0.15% (0.5million expected US deaths)?

Really, just tell us what your number is. Ignore the data, ignore what might or might not be counted. How many potentially preventable US deaths from COVID-19 is acceptable to you to prevent "crashing the economy"?

If your answer is you don't care about the number, that's fine, just have the balls to say it.
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Old 03-27-2020, 09:17 PM   #3
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Is it really? H1N1 had 60,800,000 cases, 274,304 hospitalized persons, and 12,469 deaths. We did not collapse our economy for a far worse epidemic. Overreaction?


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Sorry, fat finger syndrome... I didn’t mean to thank you. And, your SNR is really, really low.


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