Official 2015 Ice-Out Thread

Pine Island Guy · 04-08-2015, 08:59 AM

Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend!

today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG

Mr Cooke's Crew · 04-09-2015, 06:09 AM

My guess is April 29.

Winnisquamguy · 04-10-2015, 11:21 AM

Ice out May 1 @ 10:40 am

Merrymeeting · 04-10-2015, 03:09 PM

In the FWIW dept. If anyone is interested in following ice-out on a lake other than Winni, you can follow the Merrymeeting one here, www.mmlake.org

At the very bottom of the page are links to two prior years for comparison.

AmericanBoatClub · 04-10-2015, 04:29 PM

Rain and warm temps coming are going to do some real damage as you all know. Mix in a little wind.

It is sorta creepy and beautiful out this afternoon

Paugus bay girl · 04-11-2015, 01:10 AM

I highly doubt it will happen in May, this week is going to be almost in the 60's, with a couple days close to 70. A lot can happen with just a week of warm temps. Also, the long range looks like the warm temps will stay.Lets hope!

GodSmile · 04-11-2015, 03:53 AM

My original guess, and I think with the forecast that's still a good one. Lake seems to be rising nicely as well over the last week or so
.

Merrymeeting · 04-11-2015, 11:14 AM

Took some pictures while walking the Cotton Valley Rail Trail from Wolfeboro this morning.

The 1st is Back Bay, along the trail toward the end. You can see open water at the top where the Smith River enters the Bay. The river is flowing strongly and the Bay is open on both ends.

The 2nd photo shows Crescent Lake, between Back Bay and Lake Wentworth, beginning to open up. The 3rd photo is also on Crescent, capturing four of everyone's favorite birds. I didn't take pictures, but when we drove by Wentworth, I didn't see any openings.

4th - Back Bay heading to bridge out to Wolfeboro Bay.
5th - other side of bridge
6th - More of the favorite birds off the Wolfeboro docks.
7th - looking down the bay toward Goodhue Hawkins Marina

Chaos · 04-11-2015, 12:42 PM

Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still

Just Sold · 04-11-2015, 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chaos

Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still

Which that pond be Long Pond?

Chaos · 04-11-2015, 03:58 PM

Just Sold,
Nameless man made pond on 111 in Atkinson.

rrr · 04-11-2015, 09:03 PM

Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

Slickcraft · 04-12-2015, 10:11 AM

Belknap Point today, ice is getting darker. We'll see some real changes over the next few days.

Merrymeeting · 04-12-2015, 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rrr

Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

Not quite. It is mostly clear, but the places that get little to no sun (eg: the stretch from the WWII museum to Crescent Lake) still have a small layer of ice/snow. But I wouldn't be surprised if it's clear by tomorrow.

PaugusBayFireFighter · 04-12-2015, 05:37 PM

Lake temp 38/39 degrees. 70's tomorrow and rain Tuesday. All it takes is a week of favorable weather, and this is the week.

pjard · 04-12-2015, 06:39 PM

Very dark ice between Belknap Point and Welch...very dark! Looks like it could open up anytime.

Lakegeezer · 04-12-2015, 07:02 PM

Looks like a tilted line of melt on Winnipesaukee. From MODIS Government web site

Pine Island Guy · 04-13-2015, 10:49 AM

here's the image from this morning... good steady progress showing on the melt-o-meter!!

We will be heading out to the island this weekend for sure, maybe earlier

According to our totally unscientific historical models... ice-out is declared 4 days and 7 hours after the first time we can get to our dock on Pine Island... hahahaha

-PIG

04-08-2015, 08:59 AM	#1
Pine Island Guy Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: pine island of course! Posts: 406 Thanks: 244 Thanked 246 Times in 112 Posts	melt melt melt... Doesn't look like we can get out to the island this weekend... but with predicted temps over 60 degrees and sunny all next week... maybe next weekend! today's shot looking down the Pine/Bear channel -PIG Attached Images

04-09-2015, 06:09 AM	#2
Mr Cooke's Crew Member Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 45 Thanks: 99 Thanked 21 Times in 16 Posts	Ice Out My guess is April 29.

04-10-2015, 11:21 AM	#3
Winnisquamguy Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: Winnisquam, NH Posts: 613 Thanks: 419 Thanked 163 Times in 115 Posts	Ice out May 1 @ 10:40 am __________________ "I'd rather be ridin than rolling"

04-10-2015, 04:29 PM	#5
AmericanBoatClub Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2010 Location: Laconia Wiers Beach Posts: 76 Thanks: 21 Thanked 28 Times in 16 Posts	Rain Rain and warm temps coming are going to do some real damage as you all know. Mix in a little wind. It is sorta creepy and beautiful out this afternoon Attached Images __________________ https://www.akwamarina.com/american-boat-club

04-11-2015, 03:53 AM	#7
GodSmile Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2014 Location: Alton Bay Posts: 190 Thanks: 91 Thanked 57 Times in 37 Posts	April 24 My original guess, and I think with the forecast that's still a good one. Lake seems to be rising nicely as well over the last week or so .

The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to Pine Island Guy For This Useful Post:
Just Sold (04-09-2015), MAXUM (04-08-2015), PaugusBayFireFighter (04-09-2015), pontoonbarge (04-08-2015), Rattlesnake Gal (04-08-2015)

The Following User Says Thank You to Mr Cooke's Crew For This Useful Post:
gator8 (04-10-2015)

04-10-2015, 03:09 PM	#4
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	In the FWIW dept. If anyone is interested in following ice-out on a lake other than Winni, you can follow the Merrymeeting one here, www.mmlake.org At the very bottom of the page are links to two prior years for comparison.

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to AmericanBoatClub For This Useful Post:
DRH (04-10-2015), Just Sold (04-11-2015), Leoskeys (04-10-2015), Merrymeeting (04-10-2015)

04-11-2015, 01:10 AM	#6
Paugus bay girl Member Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 47 Thanks: 2 Thanked 7 Times in 7 Posts	I highly doubt it will happen in May, this week is going to be almost in the 60's, with a couple days close to 70. A lot can happen with just a week of warm temps. Also, the long range looks like the warm temps will stay.Lets hope!

04-11-2015, 11:14 AM	#8
Merrymeeting Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Merrymeeting Lake, New Durham Posts: 2,226 Thanks: 302 Thanked 800 Times in 368 Posts	Took some pictures while walking the Cotton Valley Rail Trail from Wolfeboro this morning. The 1st is Back Bay, along the trail toward the end. You can see open water at the top where the Smith River enters the Bay. The river is flowing strongly and the Bay is open on both ends. The 2nd photo shows Crescent Lake, between Back Bay and Lake Wentworth, beginning to open up. The 3rd photo is also on Crescent, capturing four of everyone's favorite birds. I didn't take pictures, but when we drove by Wentworth, I didn't see any openings. 4th - Back Bay heading to bridge out to Wolfeboro Bay. 5th - other side of bridge 6th - More of the favorite birds off the Wolfeboro docks. 7th - looking down the bay toward Goodhue Hawkins Marina Attached Images

The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to Merrymeeting For This Useful Post:
Flylady (04-11-2015), LadyJane (04-11-2015), wynndog (04-13-2015)

04-11-2015, 12:42 PM	#9
Chaos Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Danville, NH and West Alton Marina Posts: 134 Thanks: 111 Thanked 32 Times in 20 Posts	Black cat Shows the 2 Ft temp higher than the 10 Ft for the first time that I've seen. The weather is working its magic! The pond I use as a 2 week ice out measuring stick should ice out today. April 25 looks good still

The Following User Says Thank You to Chaos For This Useful Post:
Leoskeys (04-12-2015)

04-11-2015, 03:58 PM	#11
Chaos Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Danville, NH and West Alton Marina Posts: 134 Thanks: 111 Thanked 32 Times in 20 Posts	Pond Name Just Sold, Nameless man made pond on 111 in Atkinson.

04-11-2015, 09:03 PM	#12
rrr Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Winter Harbor Posts: 214 Thanks: 75 Thanked 37 Times in 14 Posts	rail trail Merrymeeting - is the rail trail snow free for walking?

04-12-2015, 10:11 AM	#13
Slickcraft Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2008 Location: Welch Island and The Taylor Community Posts: 3,310 Thanks: 1,227 Thanked 2,098 Times in 957 Posts	Belknap Point today, ice is getting darker. We'll see some real changes over the next few days. Attached Images

The Following 4 Users Say Thank You to Slickcraft For This Useful Post:
Diana (04-12-2015), ghfromaltonbay (04-12-2015), pontoonbarge (04-12-2015), trfour (04-12-2015)

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rrr (04-14-2015)

04-12-2015, 05:37 PM	#15
PaugusBayFireFighter Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 837 Thanks: 361 Thanked 674 Times in 264 Posts	Lake temp 38/39 degrees. 70's tomorrow and rain Tuesday. All it takes is a week of favorable weather, and this is the week.

04-12-2015, 06:39 PM	#16
pjard Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: Gilford, NH Posts: 636 Thanks: 493 Thanked 194 Times in 101 Posts	Very dark ice between Belknap Point and Welch...very dark! Looks like it could open up anytime.

04-12-2015, 07:02 PM	#17
Lakegeezer Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Moultonboro, NH Posts: 1,678 Blog Entries: 1 Thanks: 354 Thanked 639 Times in 290 Posts	MODIS April 12 Looks like a tilted line of melt on Winnipesaukee. From MODIS Government web site Attached Images __________________ -lg Last edited by Lakegeezer; 04-12-2015 at 07:08 PM. Reason: Add link to MODIS

04-13-2015, 10:49 AM	#18
Pine Island Guy Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: pine island of course! Posts: 406 Thanks: 244 Thanked 246 Times in 112 Posts	melt melt melt here's the image from this morning... good steady progress showing on the melt-o-meter!! We will be heading out to the island this weekend for sure, maybe earlier According to our totally unscientific historical models... ice-out is declared 4 days and 7 hours after the first time we can get to our dock on Pine Island... hahahaha -PIG Attached Images

The Following User Says Thank You to Pine Island Guy For This Useful Post:
MAXUM (04-13-2015)