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08-26-2009, 10:33 AM | #1 |
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Hurricane Danny?
Well, looks like Tropical Storm Danny has formed, and it looks like it will become Hurricane Danny in the next day or 2. Keep your eye on the storm track though. As of this morning, the NHC has New Hampshire inside the "cone". It looks as though the center could pass right over Cape Cod. Being on the western side of a cane or even tropical storm could bring us some decent wind gusts and certainly some rain. Nothing we haven't seen before...but definately something to keep an eye on.
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08-27-2009, 01:12 PM | #2 |
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Wind won't be a factor for the Lakes Region but rain will be. Be prepared for 1-3" of ran and the potential for some minor flooding, especially during the day Saturday. Sunday will turn warmer and drier- at least we'll salvage one day this weekend.
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08-27-2009, 05:33 PM | #3 |
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What makes you think wind will not be a factor? Sure we may not get the full force of the winds, but if there are sustained winds it is always a danger, with boats rocking around and the possibility of ropes breaking.......
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08-27-2009, 07:17 PM | #4 | |
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Quote:
LACONIA KLCI GFS MOS GUIDANCE 8/27/2009 1800 UTC DT /AUG 28 /AUG 29 /AUG 30 HR 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18 N/X 45 65 55 62 57 TMP 64 53 50 47 53 61 63 64 57 56 56 57 57 58 60 60 60 60 59 61 76 DPT 38 41 41 40 42 42 43 45 48 50 52 53 54 57 60 60 60 60 59 61 60 CLD CL CL FW SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK WDR 27 00 00 00 09 06 08 16 12 10 09 08 08 07 08 07 08 09 22 24 24 WSP 02 00 00 00 02 04 05 05 04 03 06 07 07 07 08 06 07 06 05 04 07 P06 0 5 5 32 49 83 93 76 50 15 22 P12 5 32 89 97 50 Q06 0 0 0 0 1 4 5 4 1 0 0 Q12 0 0 4 5 1 T06 1/ 0 1/ 0 0/ 0 6/ 0 3/ 1 11/ 0 13/ 1 15/ 0 7/ 2 3/ 2 T12 1/ 0 6/ 1 13/ 1 18/ 2 4/ 2 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 6 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 3 4 5 4 5 6 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N BR BR BR BR BR BR BR N N |
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gioia7 (08-28-2009) |
08-28-2009, 09:20 AM | #5 | |
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Winds are rarely an issue on the west side of a tropical storm over interior New England for a couple of reasons. First, the storm's trajectory and speed will typically have a negating effect on the wind on the western flank of the low; If the storm is tracking north at a high rate of speed (which it almost always does at this latitude) then the winds on the left side of the storm will be significantly lighter than those on the right side. Second, inland areas will typically have an atmospheric "inversion" when the storm tracks along the coast with cold air trapped at the surface and warmer air overrunning aloft. This inhibits the strongest winds from mixing down to the ground level. In my experience, most forecasters overestimate inland wind during coastal storms like this (including wintertime noreasters) as they typically underestimate how powerful an inversion is at keeping strong wind away. I would be very surprised if the Lakes region had any wind stronger than 20mph- it will basically feel like your run of the mill, cool, rainy day on Saturday. Bottom line: Don't take your boat out of the water- Sunday will be a great day on the lake. |
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gioia7 (08-28-2009) |
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08-28-2009, 03:33 PM | #6 | |
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The issue I have is that to say "wind will not be a factor" has to be taken with a grain of salt..... The wind itself may not be a factor from a strength perspective. However if the wind blow at 15-20 mph for an extended period of time it begins to cause strain on mornings, and docks..... all it takes is for a mooring line to break and then havoc ensues..........
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08-28-2009, 04:14 PM | #7 |
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Rain
The biggest impact will be rain for the lakes region. As pointed out, at our latitudes, there is not much wind at all on the left side of the storm. However, the left side is usually very wet.
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08-30-2009, 06:40 PM | #8 |
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We got almost 2.5" of rain here in West Alton between Friday evening and Saturday evening.
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