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#1 |
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I'm looking for investment options in today's crazy times....
Stock market - Forget It ! Bonds - Nope ! Gold & Precious Metals - Can't take a gold bar to Wal-Mart or Hannaford Annuities - Long term, and big penalties if withdrawn before maturity Which leaves real estate ! Not interested in residential housing or commercial. I'm thinking of residential land, because God's not making anymore ![]() I realize that land is not really liquid asset, but in today's market, it could turn-over in a reasonable time-frame if I needed to cash-out. By reasonable time-frame, I mean within 6-12 months. My money is losing money just sitting in the bank, and with the expectation that inflation will most likely be with us for the next several years, I figure real estate is my best bet to hedge against the eroding dollar and interest rates. No plans to rush into purchasing, but if the opportunity rises you have to strike when the iron is hot ! This said, what towns' around the lake are most appealing for investment opportunities ? Last edited by bigdog; 10-12-2021 at 06:17 PM. Reason: spell |
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#2 |
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Bitcoin.
Ethereum. Assorted alt coins |
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#3 |
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I won't presume to tell you how to invest, but one gigantic difference between real estate as you describe it, and a typical buy and hold portfolio of equity and debt index funds from someplace like Vanguard or Fidelity, is that the real estate requires a huge amount of work. It's as much a hobby or part time job as it is an investment. This could be a plus or a minus, depending on your interests
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#4 |
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#5 |
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Investing is an extremely personal subject. People have different levels of security and risk and age also is a major factor. Taking into account all these factors plus the economy the best plan is usually a balanced and diverse portfolio which will help you weather the fluctuations of the economy. A little is the market a little in bonds and a little in real estate plus always keep an acceptable level of cash liquid.
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#6 |
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Not according to Jamie Dimon:
"Say what you want about JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, but he's consistent about his disdain for bitcoin. Dimon once again attacked the top cryptocurrency, calling it "worthless" during a virtual summit Monday. "I personally think bitcoin is worthless, but I don't want to be a spokesperson," he said during a virtual appearance at the Institute of International Finance Meeting before adding, "I don't care, it makes no difference to me. I don't think people should smoke cigarettes." |
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#7 | |
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#8 |
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Unless you have enough land to hunt, snowmobile, or harvest, land is pretty boring. I think I'd rather see something that lets me have fun with my grandchildren. A collection of pinball machines, for example. Or maybe a nice triple cockpit antique speedboat? Antique or classic cars can be fun and profitable.
There are real estate projects that give better leverage than vacant land and generate some cash flow too. I have a friend who has done well with self storage--No tenant has ever called with a plumbing problem on a weekend or holiday. Same with boat slips--prices and rents are still climbing, and tenants don't call with problems. Rents are paid annually, (at least at MVYC) so no problem with late payers. Have fun. Old standbys: collectible art, oriental rugs, jewelry, Race/stud horses. |
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#9 |
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Land is probably one if the riskiest things.
Stock market, investing conservatively, is a pretty good bet. Descant, good point about self storage. Big money in that. |
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#10 | |
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#11 |
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That's a loaded question. I good financial advisor that is independent of any investment firm is a good start. Try your bank or credit union.
Check to see if there is a local investment club. Usually, a bunch of people pool together their resources and form a nice portfolio that changes as the market indicates. There has been a lot of success! As for me, I have been extremely lucky to invest in defense contracts stocks. Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Boeing, etc. Great dividend yield as well as long-term growth. For the short term, the last niche was cannabis stocks. That was a wild but fun ride. I switch all stocks to cannabis ETF until I find another growth opportunity. As for land, high upfront cost, unless you sit on it for a loooong time. Consider REIT, but it is risky.
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#12 | |
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#13 | |
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oh and crypto is a complete casino. good luck with that in ten years. |
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#14 |
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Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. It’s also very important to recognize cycles when making a decision. Real estate values are at a peak right now, And like you said about gold you cannot take a piece of real estate to Walmart.
Cryptocurrency is extremely volatile and with so many new ones coming up on a daily basis very risky. It’s Fiat currency!!! There has never been a fiat currency survive through time. Do you hope to make money with your investment or hope to preserve capital? I like silver. 10oz bullion bars. It’s a tangible asset, and an industrial metal, so there will always be demand. I will always accept them in exchange for A bottle of booze or a bar tab |
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#15 |
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Land creates no cash flow...And you'll have to pay a yearly tax.
Your first step is to do a self-analysis on your tolerance for risk. What is your time frame? Time is extremely important. Look at the historical return of any investment over time. Diversity and time are key. When I first moved to San Fran, I went to an open house in Pacific Heights...An incredible mansion for sale for $125,000. I was making $600/month and thought I'd never be able to buy real estate there....Every real estate "bubble" has historically fell by the wayside (factoring time) as values continue to rise. Today that house would sell for around $10 million. Is there an R.E. bubble today? Probably, but what about the factor of time? Stock market?...Look at a time table... On December 1, 1984 the S&P 500 was 181.14. Today it's at 4,363.33. I tend to be a contrarian when I invest. I don't buy stock when everyone else is buying, I buy when it's being sold off. I bought an apartment building in San Fran when interest rates were "floating" at 18% in 1981 and no one was buying. Best investment I could have made at age 30.
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#16 |
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A good well diversified portfolio, a steady hand in not making rash or large moves based on market conditions, plus time is the key to success. Simple as that. Disciplined investors are rewarded. Everyone else that does exotic investments and chase trends take huge risks. Sometimes it works, often times it doesn't.
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#17 |
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As so many above have echoed, land would be a really poor choice for what you described. You quickly say you don't want residential or commercial real estate, but they are the best long term bet IMO if you wanted to put money into RE. I include boat slips or self storage or car washes in the commercial category, all are interesting investments.
Otherwise, like Broadhopper suggested, I'd recommend getting a well regarded investment adviser. They will listen to your needs, risk tolerance, look at your current asset mix, and advise accordingly. |
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#18 | |
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#19 |
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Did I miss the answers? The OP asked about which towns might have good opportunities, and we all went off about why we don't like real estate. : suspect, without doing my own research, that if you get a town or two away from Winnipesaukee, there are some good opportunities to buy a parcel of say, 50-100 acres, take it through the sub division approval process and then sell to a developer. Still a lot of up front costs, but you don't pay the land use change tax until actually sold. You might be able to harvest. I'd look at the Barnsteads, which have, I think, nine lakes.
Realtor.com lists 25 acrss in Barnstead fore $165K and 127 acres in Belmont for $250K. Last edited by Descant; 10-13-2021 at 03:01 PM. Reason: added two lot locations |
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#20 |
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Why not "think locally" and invest in local projects, assuming you can find them?
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#21 | |
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They stated they were looking to real estate. REIT is the closest you can come in real estate to investing in a comparable stock or bond fund. |
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#22 | |
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Google luck with that. |
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#23 |
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#25 |
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I have a gorgeous piece of land in Moultonborough. Everything is for sale for the right price
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#26 |
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With your savings held in a .... https://www.mvsb.com/personal/deposit-rates/ .... personal deposit savings account your money is safe but you basically make little to NO INTEREST on your deposited savings money.
So, is best to keep the money in the bank and drive your car to 300,000-miles or longer, and buy all your clothes for $3.20/shirt at the https://www.stvdplaconia.org ...... Tuesday opening at 10-am is 30%-off for seniors, day! Plus, stay away from restaurants!
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#27 |
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Nobody has discussed whether the land will be financed or bought out right. Typically, banks don’t like to finance land and if they do the LTV is low, maybe 50% to a well qualified buyer. As others have noted there is no cash flow but there are expenses such as real estate taxes and P&I payments. What is your desire OP?
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#28 | |
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#29 | |
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#30 | |
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#31 | |
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Holdings in that space are everything when assessing the overall risk vs reward. |
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#32 |
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Foam noodle stock is always a wise investment.
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#33 | |
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Different perspective: ~45 years ago my sister and BIL bought 600 acres. ASAP, they sold 400 and had minimal $$ exposure on the remaining 200 acres. Tree farmers. They moved onto the land from away 25 years ago. In future, my niece will inherit and plans to move here. To them, this was a great "investment". Maybe we all need to re-think "investment" and think about our grandchildren instead of ourselves. |
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#34 |
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If you look at a one year chart for WMT, it looks like it has done a double top and could be heading down from it's current price, so now is the time to go SHORT on WMT.
On the other hand, if it goes back up you can get stopped out and loose big ..... and be left with nothing except your old foam swim noodles ..... ![]()
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#35 | |
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So from my point of view NH is for the most part a toxic place to invest in realestate due to the unpredictable carrying costs of property taxes. Not that it doesn't exist elsewhere but it is far more acute here that any oscillation in spending directly hits property owners and without regard to the impact of the person's ability to pay. Therefore many properties such as the one described even if owned outright may be lost for no other reason than the tax burden becomes to great. Of course nobody really cares that multigenerational properties are lost in this manner, only that there is somebody ready and willing to buy and take over the increased tax burden willingly. It is a sad but vicious cycle, but as they say, that is what they call "progress". |
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#36 | |
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#37 | |
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#38 |
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In NH, 10 acres and more, can be taxed at a reduced rate, if declared "current Use"; Google it.
An additional reduction, if declared recreational use, in current use; e.g., letting snowmobilers go thru the property, etc. You can restrict motorized vehicles and still claim current use with the low tax rate. Actual Example for "current use": Bought three years ago, 34 acres in Moultonborough that was in "current use" and annual town property tax was $24; not a typo ... twenty four dollars per year for 34 acres on land. Took out of current use, a little under 2 acres for new-build house and driveway from the 34 acres. Was Taxed 10% of the assessed value of the just under 2 acres, and the rest on the property was still current use with very low tax rate. On-going tax rate reflects just under 2 acres at regular assessed tax rate and balance of the 34 acres tax at the low current use rate. Anyone with ten or more acres of vacant land should be looking at "current use", to pay a very reduced annual town tax. |
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#39 | |
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I know half a dozen families that were "taxed" out of their home in NH over the years. And I know several planning on it. They know they can't afford to stay after they retire. I don't know of any in MA. |
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#40 | |
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Individuals need to do their own homework here, not rely on rando posters (like me). But if an older person's real goal is to stay in their beloved home, there are options available. Of course, if folks are looking at a massive run up in value, and they want the cash, that's cool too. But it's not being taxed out of one's nest. |
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#41 | |
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For an investment property with a quick turn for maximum ROI, it doesn't make much sense. The math simply does not add up. |
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#42 | |
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The numbers show this is the case with roughly 83 percent of all NH residents. Even after paying off the mortgage, and lowering monthly costs, they have failed to save enough to reach replacement income through their investments. A live for the moment and suffer the consequences of such later. |
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Just Google it read for yourself. https://www.revenue.nh.gov/current-u...-2021-2022.pdf Short term investment advice on this website ... !!! Surely you jest. |
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#44 |
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One negative to placing land in current use is its resale value. Because the 10 year tax window pay back. It’s value at time of sale does get reduced
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#45 | |
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Estate has been part of the family since 1892. Beautiful 'On Golden Pond' fishing cottage overlooking the Broads. Unfortunately, the late '90s was not the time to maximize profits as it was in a recession. As for woodlots/farms, we made the decision to set up our farm as a non-profit trust. This saves us a lot of money. When we were hounded by developers to sell and become rich, we put the trust under the Belknap Conservatory umbrella. To us this is the best investment, preserving land for the future generations!
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#46 | |
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Resale value is determined by markets, not laws. If you're alluding to the 10% "penalty" of taking land out of current use (doesn't have to be a sale), it is commensurate with land appreciation and market conditions. The 10% penalty is based on the present value determined by the town assessing office, which can be challenged (good luck). In my humble opinion resale value will rarely be reduced. Quite the opposite. The 10% "penalty" for taking property out of current use will be higher as time progresses, as property value increases. Current use runs with the property, including selling to others. Investments or "deals are in the eyes" of the investor. |
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#47 |
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I should add that the accumulated reduced tax in a current use situation, needs to be factored-in; 10 years(?) or any amount of years.
There's a point in time whereby the annual tax savings compensates for the 10% penalty, even if the property value remains stagnant or in the unlikely possibility of value reduction. Namely, the tax savings makes up for the 10% tax penalty. |
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#48 | |
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Not to mention all of this is likely to change very quickly in the next few years. Much of it being unmanaged forest. |
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#49 | |
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Assessors look toward what similar properties are selling for and try to determine what the market value of any property is. |
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Can you provide the statute for Current use II? Can you provide when the statute RSA 79-A was changed. http://www.gencourt.state.nh.us/rsa/...TOC-V-79-A.htm Current use is the means for encouraging the preservation of open space and conserving the land, water, forest, agricultural, and wildlife resources. Property owners with 10 or more acres of land, which are left in their natural state may apply. https://concordnh.gov/295/Current-Use BASICS • Parcel must be at least 10 acres or provide $2500 in annual agriculture or horticultural products. https://extension.unh.edu/sites/defa...76_Rep1099.pdf What are the requirements for enrollment in Current Use? A parcel of land that is 10 or more acres in size and is farm, forest or unproductive land. There are a few exceptions to this requirement such as: tree farms of any size, land used to grow an agricultural or horticultural products with at least $2,500 gross income per year and wetlands of any size. http://www.nhspace.org/faq.shtml#1 https://www.nhmunicipal.org/town-cit...ral-operations Also, view tax ... "New Hampshire does not have a special statewide tax for properties with a scenic view. However, local tax officials may judge that a property with a scenic view is worth more money, which results in a bigger property tax bill." "Since a home’s location impacts how much it is worth to homebuyers, a scenic view may increase the home’s value in the eyes of the tax official. If a property with a scenic view gets a higher appraisal, the property owner will have a higher tax bill. However, there is no special tax specifically for properties with scenic views. All property owners pay the same statewide property tax rate." https://www.citizenscount.org/news/d...-have-view-tax Please ... not the "semantics" issue to try to prove a point. |
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#51 |
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100% invested in stocks and have always been even though financial advisors said I need bonds which they say yau cannot lose money on. Apparently they only refer to bonds like airports. municipals, ports and the like. All I can say is that the measley amount I invested in stocks has provided a great retirement and still continues to grow despite the sum withdrawn every year. Also own real estate and in my mind real estate is not a good investment.
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#52 |
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Most of Current Use is unmanaged forest.
The Recreational Discount does not add significantly to the savings after going to Current Use I. And again, there is no view tax. It is simply based on the market value of home with a view being higher than one that is not. Basically people will pay more for the property with a view, the same way that people will pay more for waterfront. Which is what you quoted. It impacts the market value. And the change... it is already being discuss. https://www.nhbr.com/current-use-sys...-to-taxpayers/ ''The current use program assesses forest, farm and idle or unproductive land at its current use rather than ad valorem, or fair market, value. Undeveloped parcels of at least 10 acres qualify for current use assessment. Forest covers 2,623,405 acres, or 87%, of the land in current use. The 204,353 acres of farmland account for 7% of the total and 180,698 acres of unproductive land and wetlands make up the balance. In addition, cultivated plots of any size generating documented annual income of $2,500 from the production and sale of agricultural or horticultural produce also qualify.'' As for the recreation use discount... It is 20% off from the Current Use I discount. So if I have an $80,000 ten acre lot in top prime farmland, it could be assessed as high as $4250 according to the current rates. The CU II would only lower that by $850 to $3400. Figuring a $20 mil rate, initial taxation would be $1600, CU I would be $85, and CU II would be $60.80 As you can see, CU I is the real workhorse... while going to CU II only saves $24.20 The scope of the program to lower development pressure, retain farmland, and forest for the paper industry has either failed or been a bit dismal in its overall results. Active farmland within the program has fallen and the paper industry isn't coming back. I expect the changes will be within the context of the management and pricing structure of the program rather than a complete scrapping of the program. I would guess that actively manage farmland being a small part of the program will see the fewest increases and forest land without managed stewardship would see the highest - if they even decide that option should be allowed. There has even been some chatter reported on by the various media outlets of a possible lawsuit against NH claiming that since this is a State program, it falls under Part 1 Article 28-a |
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28-a is a great part of the NH Constitution. |
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#56 | ||
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https://www.nhbr.com/current-use-sys...-to-taxpayers/ Quote:
Then," when the Current Use Board met in June, Rusty Keith, a former selectman from Lyme, ..." "Keith has suggested introducing a statewide current use tax, akin to the statewide education tax, to distribute the cost of the program proportionally among all municipalities. He noted that current use is a state program, governed by state statutes and rules" Sure ... like what, the "Donor Town" concept, as in the Claremont lawsuits and decisions. Oh great! I register to vote as an independent; not biased to either political party. Current use Here's a sample, not conjecture, reality, regarding 13.3 acres for my son, from the 34 acres I subdivided into two parcels, in Moultonborough. Current use property: 2021 Tax for 13.3 acres is $8.00. Not a typo ... eight ($8) dollars for the year. Town land assessed value is $107,300 Moultonborough tax rate: Year Total Town County School State Ed Median Ratio 2019 7.15$ 2.18$ 1.10$ 1.91$ 1.96$ 93.81 2020 7.13$ 2.11$ 1.15$ 2.09$ 1.78$ 92.50 2021 - https://www.nhtaxkiosk.com/default.aspx State statutes can be changed. Till then, current law (pun intended) is still valid. Part 1, [Art.] 28-a. [Mandated Programs.] The state shall not mandate or assign any new, expanded or modified programs or responsibilities to any political subdivision in such a way as to necessitate additional local expenditures by the political subdivision unless such programs or responsibilities are fully funded by the state or unless such programs or responsibilities are approved for funding by a vote of the local legislative body of the political subdivision. November 28, 1984 Note:" ... unless such programs or responsibilities are approved for funding by a vote of the local legislative body of the political subdivision. November 28, 1984." Those are towns! https://www.nh.gov/glance/bill-of-rights.htm |
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#57 |
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Current Use is not a town ordinance. It is a state statute subject to Part 1 Article 28-a.
The town does not have a chose to enter or not enter into the Current Use program, nor does it set the assessment rates. Those are set by a State board. If you use the 2020 tax rate of $7.13, the board has set the assessment rate of your son's property at $1122. That is about $84 per acre, but could be as high as $105 per acre if he has CU II reducing it to the $84 per. If the Court found that it is a State controlled program, the State would need to pick up the costs through some means. What that means is remains to be seen. Is it an increase in the SWPT with an actual transfer of funds, or by some other means. That would be up to the Legislature/Governor reacting to the Court finding. It is really not a matter of how we vote. |
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Town ordinances are subject to town vote only if the vote does not conflict with statutes; e.g., zoning, parking ... All towns and governing bodies only have the authority provided by statute. Example:Regarding masks in schools, vaccinations etc. Even if a vote was is to overrule the school board, it would be "unenforceable". Statutorily, the school board decides. If the petitioners were to sue and get the NH Supreme Court to grant certiorari and hear the case, and the Court decides "unconstitutional", then case law is created, is then NH law. If present lawsuits convince the NH Supreme Court that there are conflicting statutes: school board policy authority v. school health issues ...constitutionality? My property mentioned (under Trust) is assessed at $1,159, with a tax of $8. How many other 13 acre parcels are you aware of paying $8 in taxes that are not in current use; in this town or on this planet! My original comment that started this conversation was edification of the advantages of utilizing current use. Even if the legislature decides to take-up current use change, it will have to deal with "grandfathering" and probable lawsuits. |
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#59 |
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My point is that since it is not town, Part 1 Article 28-a plays a role.
A lawsuit, depending on outcome, could alter or even scrap the program. Since the property is intended as an investment, that plays an overreaching role in the decision on what to invest in, and what the timeline of the hold is. And there is no ''grandfathering''. The biggest possibility of a lawsuit on that issue would be could the municipality do a 10% penalty against a property due to the fact that the property no long had the CU option. Last edited by John Mercier; 10-17-2021 at 02:23 PM. Reason: Add comment |
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#60 | |||||||
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"The land use change tax rate is "10% of the full and true value" of the land that no longer qualifies for current use (RSA 79-A:7). The 10% land use change tax is not based upon the amount of taxes saved over the years in which the property was in current use." https://www.revenue.nh.gov/current-u...15-booklet.pdf Maybe you can reference your next "current use" point, that you'll undoubtedly try to make, referencing one of the following in the URL: http://www.gencourt.state.nh.us/rsa/...TOC-V-79-A.htm |
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#61 |
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The property investment being discussed as the OP suggested.
He is looking to an investment property to turn in 6-12 months at a profit. As for Part 1 Article 28-a... if it isn't a municipal program, our Constitution requires the State to pick up the cost for the program. That is the NH Constitution. CU is not a municipal statute, so a Court finding would be the State has to cover the cost of the program should they decide to keep it. The Court does not ''grandfather''. Taxation is annual, so the Court could ''stay the order'' to give the Legislature some time to act, but that would be limited once the legislation is considered unconstitutional. I understand the 10%. I have used both CU I and CU II before. Currently the legislation requires when a property is removed from CU, that a 10% of valuation to be paid. If the current legislation is found to be unconstitutional, and the program is scrapped. It may/may not be constitutional to charge the 10% penalty... since it is part of that current legislation. So the municipality could charge the 10%, but a landowner may file lawsuit to recover the 10%... as they did not choose to leave the program. This isn't new to those of us born and raised here growing up in the farming and forestry community. |
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Your last post reveals nothing new, in more ways than one.
One doesn't have to be from the farming or forestry community to have basic reading and comprehension skills. |
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Bigdog, you started the thread 5 days ago, have a lot of input, plus a few people arguing current use and how it impacts long term investment. Any thoughts now that people have weighed in?
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He didn't stipulate a long term investment.
6-12 months. And then he asked which town(s) around the lake. People chimed in with stock and bond index funds - valuable plays but not what he even inferred - and then went off a tangent about long term investing. A 6-12 month investment in property somewhere around the lake creates a hefty acquisition/carry cost. Will the expansion of valuation cover the acquisition/carry cost and provide a return? Hard to tell. He would need a property that is in high demand with few other competing parcels. Belmont, where I live, has open parcels - even some large ones - but we have also seen some of the developments sit idle for years and looking for buyers. The Gilmanton property I got at a very good price - paid less than 50% of assessed value - and placed in CU II for seven years. I made money, but not sure that I couldn't have done just as well being in stocks. A lot less paperwork and I could have hidden it in tax-deferred accounts. But he didn't ask if stocks were a better long term investment. Raw land as a short term passive investment - at least in my experience - is very fickle. Active investors - like developers and builders - seem to do much better. |
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So the state now deems that property with a view as a location plus so the state deems that that property should be taxed at its so called selling price.
At the time of the new appraisal that shot our appraised cost sky high and many others have seen an increase in our taxes six-fold. Before the town consider the property as seasonal i.e. we are on a dirt road, not maintained by the town, we don't use any town services such as schools, etc. So our taxes were low. The town has a separate rate for use. Also, my dad was a veteran and also 65+ After the state ruling, that rate is gone and there is no discount for 65+ Just veterans. If you google the time the state took over appraisal many farmers had their property tax increased as their property is in what the realtors call an attractive location! A good example is a blind farmer whose property in Orford NH value has increased 8 fold because it was taxed at the appraised value if the farmer has to sell the property! He did get a reprieve as the appraisal was base on the value of the land if it was separated and sold as lots! Hence the title view tax was born. Our farm was one that was hit badly. The original appraised value by the town for 350 acres in the early 90s was 900,000 when the state took over the appraisal value went up to 7 million! The concept was if the land was divided into individual lots, it would be worth a lot more. Because of the lawsuit, it was settled out of court and the state can't use the concept of individual lots when doing a tax appraisal. A lot had happened during the time the state took over the appraisal mainly because of the education tax fiasco. I get that everyone should be taxed fairly and every child in the state should have a decent education, but there is no right formula to use and they are still playing the political game today!
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I totally agree with this John. I know some of us, myself included, have answered questions that were not asked. It's just a forum, I don't always go back and carefully re-read the post when I reply, though I do read the whole thread. I think the OP choosing not to come back and comment just lets us go off on a discussion of various topics, which by the way is interesting so that's ok too.
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The State does not do the assessing. That is generally an independent hired by the municipality, or an assessing department if the municipality has a large enough population. They only assess what the property would sell for if it were placed on the current market; per NH RSA 75. SWPT existed long ago and was reused to meet the accounting need - is related to the Part 1 Article 28-a ratification. All State mandates must be paid with State taxes that are uniform throughout the State. Most people do not realize that the State was founded with SWPT in place, and it included tools and livestock at the time. It still includes on-highway vehicles under a special rate consideration - that is the part paid to the municipality. |
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The OP didn't say he was looking for a 6-12 month investment. He said he could liquidate land in a short time... 6-12 months.
If you want a 6-12 month secure investment guaranteed to be worth more, put it in a money market account at 1%.
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Appalachian Mountain Club's Three Mile Island property is supposedly located on three different islands, and is in "current use" property tax category, so's the large building with the dining hall must be in its own separate parcel of land, or something.
How were they able to do that? ....... omg ..... ![]() ![]()
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Then a support for real estate. Real Estate with easy liquidation is a REIT ETF; short term interest bearing with a concern for inflation is a TIPS. |
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I mentioned Bitcoin as an investment option when this thread started. Take a look. Hope you listened.
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That to me is Las Vegas style investing.... a total crap shoot. |
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Personally, I recommend at least 50% in a low-expense, total market, index fund, like VTSAX or an ETF like VTI. Yes, stocks go up and down, but on average they out-perform real estate. Last edited by Bizer; 10-29-2021 at 04:53 AM. |
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People can create other formats of cryptocurrency... to date, I don't know of anyone that can ''create'' gold.
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Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app |
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Great point--no one except the inventor of a particular cryptocurrency has any idea how much of that currency will be created and when. The buyers are simply hoping the supply will be optimal. A sucker's game for all but a few
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Actually, at least in the case of Bitcoin everyone knows exactly how much will be created. It is set in stone how much and when. I completely understand why many on this forum view it as some kind of a Ponzi scheme. The folks on here, myself included, tend to skew a bit older and more conservative. I was equally skeptical but have relatives who work in the industry and have been somewhat educated (I still don't completely get it and never will) and convinced of it's value and future. Invest in what allows you to sleep at night and never invest more than you can afford to lose but do not be so quick to dismiss a tech that you probably do not understand. It may not be Bitcoin but eventually paper money will be gone and currency will be digital just like everything else.
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My fundamental problems with Bitcoin are: It's easy to be skeptical of governments and banks, but it's absurd to think anonymous coders are more trustworthy. The only transactions for which Bitcoin are intrinsically better than dollars are illegal transactions. For any other transaction, the fees and friction of dollars and big banks are nothing compared to the daily price volatility of crypto |
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I think I'm about 95% digital without Bitcoin. My receivables go directly to my bank account. My bills go to the same bank for autopay. I buy stuff online or in a retail store with a credit card, which is on autopay. Occasionally, a vendor will say, "Cash only. I'm saving for retirement."
I expect the creators of Bitcoin are at least as trustworthy as Congress and the Fed when they want to create more money. I could buy Bitcoin which is certainly volatile, or something like MRNA which increased in value 500% September to September. At least a company like Moderna has physical assets that could be sold to pay debts. Bitcoin has no such assets. |
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It is not the amount of any specific cryptocurrency that I was speaking of... it was the ability to create another cryptocurrency.
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The problem with Bitcoin is that it is not the only cryptocurrency.
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Look at the charts since inception. I never said the stuff was not crazy volatile. I guess you could worry that its down from 60k+ or be happy that its up to 38k from the pennies it started at a few years back. Either way it is not for the faint of heart. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. I recommend you dollar cost average in while its down and HODL.(look it up) Crypto of some kind will eventually replace fiat. Will it be Bitcoin or something else? Will we live to see it? Who knows?
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Stock equities are also going through a bit of a correction...Volatile times!
Put your money in a mattress and pray you don't have a house fire!!!
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The fact that money continues to move into gold (where it has always gone through times of uncertainty and inflation) tells me that Bitcoin is not replacing it as forecasted by the BTC exuberant. |
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I’m 69…pulled every penny out of the stock market last month and put it into an IRA savings account. Too old to ride out another crash.
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Warning: I am not a qualified financial advisor or market consultant. Do not trade based on my crystal ball. I post such views simply to be able to reference them when in conversation at a future date with my brother in law. |
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For Dickiej, in an IRA, he can sell out without the tax implications and buy in again later if he chooses. For taxable accounts I'd consider it a questionable strategy. Think a bear market is coming? So what? In any 10 year period in the history of the stock market, if you stayed invested through downturns you would end up outperforming those who cash out and buy back in later.
Obviously for someone that is only a few years away from needing cash from their investments it may be a different story, but cashing out completely is rarely, if ever, a good strategy in taxable accounts. Just my 2 cents, not a pro, no insight beyond my own experience and lots of reading. |
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I highly doubt that will ever be eliminated in our lifetime. The purpose of current use was to reduce sprawl. Then again I believe many owners of nice homes around the lake would welcome low income housing across the street from them.
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Interesting... I suppose those stocks that are down 50-80% are as bad as crypto. Wait till the RE market crashes 50-75%... it will, I'm sure there's many of you that have experienced it multiple times. There's nothing safe... you have to be smart and not follow the herd. The hardest part is buying when the entire world is saying to run for your life! Buy crypto, buy stocks, buy real estate , but only at the right time and right now is NOT the right time. |
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Farmers were losing their property due to valuations that agriculture could not cover. CU will most likely be amended to require each property to have a management plan. |
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The difference argued by the BTC crowd was that BTC had a known limited amount that could be brought to market. But because it is digital... each ''coin'' can be infinitely deluted... not much different than dilution of the USD. I think the best inflation hedge would likely be the I-Bond. Strength of the USD, but with the inflationary hedge built in. |
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It's wise to keep in mind the old adage "buy low, sell high".
Right now real estate is at all time highs, and when it comes time to liquidate, which could take time and has high costs, the value may very well be lower. This bubble won't last. Remember 2008? Money market funds have taken a dive this month, so it's a good time to buy in. I may even put some more into my S&P index fund. Every time it dives, I move some cash into it, while others panic and sell. After a few weeks or months, it goes back up. I use Vanguard, which has very low costs and easy liquidity. |
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