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#1 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
Posts: 3,217
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Quote:
Yes there are more positives but mostly mild and asymptotic cases. Notice the hospitals are not being overcrowded like before and the recovery rate is over 99%. I’m sorry at those numbers no one it going to stop our family from getting together for thanksgiving and Christmas. As I said they already previously scared us into not celebrating Easter and Palm Sunday this year we will do our best but at the same time live our lives. Life is too short no matter what not to celebrate our family. Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app |
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| The Following User Says Thank You to joey2665 For This Useful Post: | ||
persistence (11-17-2020) | ||
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#2 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Tuftonboro and Sudbury, MA
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Here's a risk calculator that seems well-grounded. Enter your number of people, pick your spot on the map. Flip a coin on the ascertainment bias. Then decide if the risk is worth it to you.
For us, it was the actual risk plus various individuals' stress levels around risk. https://covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu/ |
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#3 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2015
Posts: 848
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Quote:
Fear Mongering at its finest! |
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#4 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Gilford, NH / Welch Island
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Quote:
Sad...VERY sad....and not for me! Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
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#5 |
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Join Date: Jun 2016
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I agree it's very sad. We did not use it in our deliberations, but I thought it might be helpful to those trying to understand the risk.
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#6 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
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Quote:
We as a family have decided that we are comfortable with assembling for the holidays and that we take as many precautions as possible. For others if you are not comfortable then don’t do it as you will not enjoy your family if you are apprehensive about being there to begin with. To each his own. Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app |
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| The Following User Says Thank You to joey2665 For This Useful Post: | ||
ishoot308 (11-17-2020) | ||
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#7 | |
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#8 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 109
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Thanked 21 Times in 18 Posts
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Quote:
Can we please start to talk about the recovery rates?!? All along the covid tracking has kept neg results and they far outnumbered the pos. I know, anyone I discussed it with said there just too many false positives to rely on that number. Well come on now, what are we doing? In MA we are now; masked in all public places. Just had 2 weeks rink closures. Most schools remote ( ours just went remote for 2 weeks but back in class now). Restaurants closed at 9:30 pm (the final nail for sure). 10pm curfews Limits to Tday / Xmas YET! The numbers are skyrocketing...oh, and baker Keeps touting kids need to be in school. Can’t have Your cake and eat it too. I’m sorry...I don’t see how throwing darts at the wall is science. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk |
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joey2665 (11-17-2020) | ||
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#9 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Maynard, MA & Paugus Bay
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Quote:
If you look at the MA dept of Health Chart (attached), being at home is the most risk of catching it. When is comes to the hockey shutdown and for some reason they got it out for hockey: When they shut hockey down in their executive order they said 30 clusters creating 107 cases they shut us down on 10/23 and opened hockey back up 11/7- just in youth and men’s league hockey The chart from the MA dept of health Shows that between 10/11 and 11/7 (mind you hockey was shut down for two out of those three weeks) that youth organized athletics and camps, that means any and every organized sports activity 14 clusters for 41 cases Prior to 10/11 and 24 clusters for 17 cases (going back to the March shutdown) So here you go 1 - First off how do you have fewer cases than clusters if a cluster is defined by two or more cases from one spot 2 - Total across all sports is 58 cases going back to start of shutdown and including the shutdown, less than the 107 they said in executive order to shut down hockey 3 - where did they get their numbers to justify the hockey shut down and no other sport 4 - the numbers before the shut down were lower than during the shut down period I was one that was in favor at the beginning, waiting to see the numbers and science and conditions, now I am in the camp of Enough is enough, people should be able to live their lives and make their own risk decisions. Oh and to those that say its for others not you? Almost half a million people die from smoking every year and about that 25-30,000 are from second hand smoke, yet smoking is legal and you don't have to wear a mask. Same could be said for Alcohol related deaths, and other communicable viruses/diseases.
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Capt. of the "No Worries" |
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#10 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Valencia, Spain (formerly Rattlesnake Isle)
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Quote:
1 - Fewer 'Confirmed' cases than clusters. 'Confirmed' being the operative word here. 4 - Increase in cases always lag by about 2 weeks. If they are seeing numbers that prompt a shut down, the numbers during the shutdown will probably by higher than when the shut down was ordered. In fact, the increased numbers is proof that their concern was justified. |
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#11 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Maynard, MA & Paugus Bay
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Quote:
__________________
Capt. of the "No Worries" |
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#12 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Valencia, Spain (formerly Rattlesnake Isle)
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#13 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Apr 2007
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Quote:
the numbers before the MA shut down went down???? but those were over a month old and should not have changes oh wait and the shut down period numbers almost all went down, except for the household clusters which rose. The State's numbers not mine. I am just a citizens watching and doing my own research on the virus cases and fear. The state shut down hockey due to the case info prior to 10/18. 30 clusters for 107 cases. Now clusters across All Organized Athletics/Camps in the state is 30 clusters for 7, yes 7 cases for that period and the clusters went down from 14 to 12 for the 3 week period and the cases went down from 41 to 31 again the definition of a cluster is more than two cases coming from the same spot.
__________________
Capt. of the "No Worries" |
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#14 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
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I agree that the recovery rates are good news. But if your primary metric is deaths, then this is sort of irrelevant. We are now at something like 250K in the US, and climbing--a thousand more every day or so
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#15 |
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Join Date: Aug 2017
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I work in a school that is open full time. In my community, we had a big spike in cases that were traced back to Halloween parties and some private parties at restaurants/bars. Right now there are about a dozen schools that have gone remote due to cases among students and staff.
The message I sent to my school community here is that everyone needs to be aware that the actions they choose to take over the Thanksgiving break (and anytime, for that matter) can impact others. I am careful and am not too concerned about the virus for me. I also know that if I test positive, my whole school (we are a small school) goes remote, something no one wants. Therefore, I have modified my holiday plans. We all need to make our own choices, but need to recognize that the choices we make potentially have consequences for others. These will be different for each of us. I don't think we need a "one size fits all" approach and hope that as we weigh our decisions we factor in how what we do could impact others. |
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#16 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2013
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Quote:
Sent from my iPad using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
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GG |
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#17 | |
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Quote:
Sent from my SM-G950U using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app |
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#18 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2008
Location: Meredith Bay & LI, NY
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Quote:
Sent from my iPhone using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app |
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#19 | |
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Join Date: Jan 2013
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Quote:
Sent from my iPad using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
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GG |
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#20 | |
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Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Waltham Ma./Meredith NH
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Quote:
My daughter is an RN, sorry but I will take her advice on this subject over yours. |
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#21 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2008
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Quote:
I never said not to take any advice or follow any precautions. People should be diligent and taking care of themselves and others but I think it’s important to remember everybody has different levels of diligence I’m comfortable seeing my family With 20 people others might not be but that our choice everybody has to make their own |
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#22 |
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Junior Member
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Laconia
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Personal hospital experience:
My blood pressure and heart rate went haywire last Sunday. My wife took me to LRGH. From what I could tell there were several other people in the emergency room but it did not look like there was any wait to get in. No one was in the waiting area.They told me they do not have any cardiologists on staff and would send me to Concord Hosptal (a very sad state of affairs). They had to test me for covid before they could send me and it came up negative (GREAT!). I was in a room by my self in Concord (not the ICU or CCU) and I wore a mask when not sleeping. No mask when they checked my vital signs in the middle of the night or during any of the myriad tests and procedures. From what I could tell when they were wheeling around me there was a number of empty rooms. I was there until Tuesday and took numerous trips for procedures. Are they overwhelmed? I can't state definitively. With increased positives. Who knows? Just one person's experience. |
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#23 | |
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Join Date: Aug 2017
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#24 | |
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Sent from my SM-G950U using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app |
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#25 | |
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#26 |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: the left coast (Portland)and West Alton
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The virus cannot be stopped until a vaccine is in place and we all take it.
Until then, the best that can be done is to try to keep it at bay. The interim question, or course, is "Which is of higher priority: saving lives or saving the economy?"
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basking in the benign indifference of the universe |
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#27 |
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Catch 22.
Might not be any economy if lives are not saved. |
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#28 |
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Yes--and your Moultonborough restaurant closure thread is a great example of how this works--one asymptomatic(?) person goes out to dinner on Saturday, and two days latter the restaurant is shut for weeks and two waiters are infected.
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#29 | |
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#30 |
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You really can't say that though. It's like the chicken and the egg. People will die from the virus or die because they can't work because of the virus. Despite what some progressive legislators think, the government can't pay everybody to stay home forever. And if the grocery stores aren't open because the workers are at home, I think most people would have a hard time finding food on their own. If truck drivers and essential workers stay home, how will we live? The society depends on people working beyond financial considerations.
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#31 | |
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#32 | |
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#33 | |
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#34 | |
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#35 | |
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#36 | |
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#37 |
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#38 |
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License plate is a dead give away!
![]() ![]() Dan
__________________
It's Always Sunny On Welch Island!!
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#39 |
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Gentlemen...? Please stop. Please return to the recent post asking what to expect after crossing the state line. Thank you.. (#106)
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#40 | |
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Quote:
In any case, as someone who lives in NH and works in MA, I've been thinking a lot about my own activities. For example, I was supposed to get my hair cut and grab some egg nog at a local farm where I grew up, but I'm not supposed to. On the one hand, there's no way to really enforce it and, honestly, it's annoying since I come from a state with lower numbers. On the other hand, I don't want to be part of the problem. Sent from my SM-G950U using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app Last edited by thinkxingu; 11-24-2020 at 05:51 AM. |
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#41 |
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Join Date: Jun 2016
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Yes, this is a good point, and I would tell it to in-staters as well. One thing that too many people on both sides of the political spectrum have in common is the willingness to forget about the numbers when it suits them. "I have to protest for an important cause" is not much different than "Nobody's going to tell me to stay away from that bike rally", or "But Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday".
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#42 |
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Join Date: Jul 2009
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Hypothetical journey Moultonborough to any town, MA via Everett and 3: the authorities can check EZ pass records, but only to state line as there aren’t any tolls once you’re in MA. Therefore, one could claim a visit to someone in Nashua, for instance. Once you have crossed into MA, however, are we expected to produce a negative COVID result? Will they put up roadblocks for out of state vehicles? Random stops? Sheesh! This is making Marie Callender entrees sound better and better. Seriously...does anyone know what to expect? Thanks.
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#43 | |
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#44 | |
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Senior Member
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#45 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jun 2016
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Quote:
You will not see or experience anything different crossing between Mass and NH. There are no police, no checkpoints, or anything like that. Happy trails! |
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#46 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2019
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Quote:
Any suggestions? We want to do the right thing but if we can't do it perfectly, is anyone really checking? |
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#47 |
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Amazingly easy trip one way....hardly any traffic....just heavy rain. Hope it’s as easy on the return trip. Thanks for your comments, Flying
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#48 | |
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Senior Member
Join Date: Jan 2013
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Quote:
Sent from my iPad using Winnipesaukee Forum mobile app
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GG |
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#49 | |
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Senior Member
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Quote:
https://www.newsmax.com/t/newsmax/ar...eerepublic.com |
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#50 |
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Join Date: Jun 2014
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That's not quite true. It would eventually burn itself out. As did pandemics in past history. But the death toll would be very high and it could take 5, 10 years.
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