Warmth
I would start by finding the warmest water possible. Depending on your location & mobility that might be a stream inflow area or just the farthest back you can get in a bay. Moultonboro bay & points north is likely to be warmest section, but you can find the warmest water in whatever area you are in. Shallow water warms faster. If that warmest water is < 58 degrees a jerk bait can be a killer.
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