Quote:
Originally Posted by MAXUM
Here's the problem with "guidance from multiple experts"
None of them know what the hell they are talking about. They provide nothing but theories based on what? The most critical piece of information is missing, how many people are actually infected with this? Answer is nobody knows. We only know the number who have died and the how many are confirmed to have it but that is NOT enough to accurately forecast anything.
Better analogy... computer models forecast the weather based on a whole slew of data points. Now try to accurately forecast the weather a week or two from now with half the data points missing. Now add a meteorologist to interpret it. We already know how inaccurate they are when they have all the data to work with and are forecasting a major storm. Now inject key pieces of data being missing and how much more inaccurate will they be? That is what we are dealing with here.
It's the fear of the unknown and the fact we have no instant solution that is driving people to this level of hysteria.
These outbreaks historically happen, they come and they go. Some die most do not. Freaking out about all this is not going to change the course this thing runs, only how long and painful it will be.
|
“None of them know what the hell they are talking about.”
And yet, you do look at the weather report, you do recognize that today’s forecast is more accurate than next week’s.
No one is claiming absolute knowledge, just the best prediction based on the opinion of those most likely to know. Of course, ignore those who have opinions you know are at extremes.
And it would have been a lot better had we the data points that earlier and more widespread testing would have given us.