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Old 03-29-2020, 08:06 AM   #141
StevenGilford
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MAXUM View Post
Here's the problem with "guidance from multiple experts"

None of them know what the hell they are talking about. They provide nothing but theories based on what? The most critical piece of information is missing, how many people are actually infected with this? Answer is nobody knows. We only know the number who have died and the how many are confirmed to have it but that is NOT enough to accurately forecast anything.

Better analogy... computer models forecast the weather based on a whole slew of data points. Now try to accurately forecast the weather a week or two from now with half the data points missing. Now add a meteorologist to interpret it. We already know how inaccurate they are when they have all the data to work with and are forecasting a major storm. Now inject key pieces of data being missing and how much more inaccurate will they be? That is what we are dealing with here.

It's the fear of the unknown and the fact we have no instant solution that is driving people to this level of hysteria.

These outbreaks historically happen, they come and they go. Some die most do not. Freaking out about all this is not going to change the course this thing runs, only how long and painful it will be.
I'm not sure which part of this reply you believe more.

If it's the "critical missing piece of information" then the logical next step would be to pick a state and conduct widespread testing, and you should be lambasting Trump for telling us that "everyone who wants a test can get it" when the reality is that's not true.

If on the other hand your belief is "**** happens, people die, suck it up grandma your time is up" then fine. Abhorrent to me, but fine.
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