Quote:
Originally Posted by StevenGilford
Also, to preempt the next line of logical acrobatics, that Trump has already used to some extent:
"StevenGilford wants to shut down the whole US economy for 2 years to blow up our economy and stop Trump getting elected!"
No, not in the slightest.
I want the US economy to get back up and running as soon as we identify the true curves and numbers, and have confidence that our mitigation strategies are robust enough to manage the spread and impact based on input and guidance from multiple experts.
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Here's the problem with "guidance from multiple experts"
None of them know what the hell they are talking about. They provide nothing but theories based on what? The most critical piece of information is missing, how many people are actually infected with this? Answer is nobody knows. We only know the number who have died and the how many are confirmed to have it but that is NOT enough to accurately forecast anything.
Better analogy... computer models forecast the weather based on a whole slew of data points. Now try to accurately forecast the weather a week or two from now with half the data points missing. Now add a meteorologist to interpret it. We already know how inaccurate they are when they have all the data to work with and are forecasting a major storm. Now inject key pieces of data being missing and how much more inaccurate will they be? That is what we are dealing with here.
It's the fear of the unknown and the fact we have no instant solution that is driving people to this level of hysteria.
These outbreaks historically happen, they come and they go. Some die most do not. Freaking out about all this is not going to change the course this thing runs, only how long and painful it will be.