I feel like a fact has been left out regarding the flu comparison. Even if COVID deaths stopped today in NYC, one in a thousand people living in the city have died. NYC has the densest population so it has the most difficultly slowing the spread, simulating what would happen elsewhere with no social distancing. One in a thousand across the US is 350,000 people, much more than a bad flu season. And of course deaths in NYC continue at a strong pace so that number could easily be a million. Not like the flu, not even close.
On another topic, every infected person is a potential breeder of mutations. We have to develop annual flu vaccines because it mutates. The same will happen with the coronavirus. We need to invent tools specific to this virus to be in a position to develop annual vaccines. We will be much better prepared in the future, but we are unprepared this first year. We need to keep the infection numbers down not just to save lives but to decrease the chance of potentially more deadly mutations occurring before we are equipped to respond.
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