Quote:
Originally Posted by Major
Secondly, I liken this to a bad flu because the raw numbers tell me so. To date, 56,803 Americans have died because of the Chinese coronavirus. (Although, I think this number is vastly inflated, since it includes patients in hospice, regular flu victims, and pretty much anyone in a nursing or retirement facility.) But let's take the number as is. For argument sake, let's say after the second wave that a total of 120,000 Americans will fall victim to the Chinese coronavirus. In 2017-2018, between 60,000 and 85,000 Americans died of the flu. I would say that 120,000 deaths is a bad year, perhaps even an historically bad year.
We adopted our course of action because the models were wrong and overhyped. The media and social media got caught up with "flattening the curve" although this approach had never been tried. There is no evidence as of now that quarantining and sheltering has done anything to protect us. Nearly all victims are old and/or have preexisting conditions. It seems to me that a better course would have been to protect those in nursing and retirement facilities, since the vast majority of victims are from there.
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Interesting. Guess we won’t know the true story until the after analysis is done. This med professional author linked below thinks that now that nursing homes are required to report data that the death numbers will actually increase significantly.
https://theconversation.com/failure-...numbers-137212
It seems a real stretch to argue that quarantining and sheltering has done nothing to protect us. That seems highly illogical and is contrary to what expert virologists worldwide believe. But maybe because we started so late in the U.S. the horse had left the barn well before we took measures to protect, and those measures weren’t all that effective and that is why we have such a disproportionate share of worldwide deaths. Seems illogical but who knows. But it’s impossible to make a reasonable argument that quarantining and sheltering didn’t protect people in countries that moved early and aggressively. It very obviously made a huge difference compared to countries that were late on the start and/or not as aggressive.