Voting with granitebox
I'm going to use the mountain view for my clues. I annotated the picture below with my guess. If that one peak is really Chocorua, that says the 'umbrella' view is pretty much north, and it narrows down the swath of the lake to a vertical swath generally around Three Mile Island. Then I also derive that the cabin more or less points east.
Playing around in Google Earth, I can get that mountain profile from Pine Island, and the Hawk's Nest Island fits the image too (that's the island off Three Mile main dock).
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