16th to 18th should be a little past at the lake. Right around the lake is a little retarded because of the impact the water has on the couple hundred feet around the water. I think the peak moves about 50 miles south per week. Obviously the trees don't have a calender so are influenced by the weather conditions which can bend time a bit. I think the period the leaves are worth seeing is perhaps a 2 week window. (Subject to more debate than some of the hottest topics on this site)
You will see plenty of color.
As a life long NH resident, my favorite days, when I seem to be most impressed and get the best photos is right after a bit of rain when the leaves and bark are still wet. I agree with metrotrade, when a tree is bright orange and a bit of hold out green is the best. (early side)
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